UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 (Wednesday)

UCL BIG GUNS TRACKER

Is there anything better than setting your alarm to 4:30??? Not for football lovers! This week the Champions League takes us to Paris, Moscow, Manchester and Lisbon just to mention a few. Bayern Munich, Barcelona, Man City and Chelsea all feature in the Wednesday matches and although it is only the second matchday, a poor result can lead to teams falling behind in their group.

Paris st Germain v Barcelona – Wed 4:30am AEST Live SBS
Recommended Bet: 
Barcelona Win ($2.00)

Predicted Line Ups: 
PSG: Sirigu; Van der Wiel, David Luiz, Marquinhos, Maxwell; Verratti, Thiago Motta, Matuidi; Pastore, Cavani, Lucas.

Barcelona: Ter Stegen; Alves, Mathieu, Piqué, Alba; Busquets, Iniesta, Rakitić; Pedro, Messi, Neymar.

Preview: The big news leading into this one is the absence of PSG striker and former Barcelona star Zlatan Ibrahimovic. If that wasn’t bad enough Argentine forward Ezequiel Lavezzi and Thiago Silva are also in doubt.

Against a quality opponent such as Barcelona goals are very difficult to come by and a lack of strike power up front is very concerning for the French side. The defence of the Spanish giants has been excellent this season and they are yet to concede a single goal.

They have also been super impressive in attack with 17 goals in just 6 matches to start the season. Neymar and Messi are finally starting the combine well and that is a dangerous sign for opposing sides in the months to come.

If PSG had a fully fit squad we could really see them pushing Barcelona but with key attacking players out they will be unable to disrupt the Barcelona defence. PSG will have to rely on set pieces as their main source of attack and it won’t be enough to get them over the line. Barcelona to WIN.

UCL Betting

Man City v Roma – Wed 4:30am LIVE ESPN
Recommended Bet: First Half Result – DRAW ($2.25)

Predicted Line Ups:  
Man City: Hart; Zabaleta, Kompany, Demichelis, Clichy; Touré, Fernandinho; Navas, Silva, Milner; Agüero.

Roma: De Sanctis; Maicon, Yanga-Mbiwa, Manolas, Torosidis; Pjanić, Keita, Naninggolan; Florenzi, Totti, Gervinho.

Preview: Surprisingly the two sides have never met before in a competitive match. There is no doubting the class of Man CIty but Roma are currently in a massive purple patch. They have won their opening five league games and absolutely thumped CSKA Moscow on Matchday 1.

Gervinho has continued the for that he displayed at the World Cup and the backline which features Greek duo Torosidis and recent signing Kostas Manolas has been a fortress, conceding only one goal this season.

Man City coach Manuel Pellegrini has not taken the Italian lightly having brought off both David Silva and Sergio Aguero early in their weekend win over Hull City. He will also be without Nasri and Jovetic meaning James Milner and Jesus Navas are likely to again start.

The real highlight in this one will be the combination of Aguero and Dzeko against a tall, strong and stubborn Roma defence. They will look to draw Roma out to create space in behind but the Italian defences are smarter than that. This one will be very tight early on and Man City may score a late winner.

UCL Betting

Sporting Lisbon v Chelsea – Wed 4:30am Live ESPN 2
Recommended Bet: 
Under 2.5 goals ($1.70)

Predicted Line Ups:
Sporting Lisbon: Rui Patrício; Cédric, Maurício, Sarr, Jonathan Silva; William, Adrien, João Mário; Carrillo, Nani, Slimani

Chelsea: Čech; Ivanović, Terry, Cahill, Luis; Matić, Fàbregas; Willian, Oscar, Hazard; Costa.

Preview: All of the teams in Group G find themselves on one point. A win for either side in this one will send them to the top of the group. Sporting will be disappointed that they could not beat Maribor on Matchday 1 and likewise Chelsea who were at home to Schalke.

Chelsea have another huge game on the weekend when they take on Arsenal and Jose Mourinho would have liked the luxury of resting some of his players. With Drogba and Ramires both unavailable this is unlikely but we may see more of Loic Remy and Andre Schurrle. We have seen in the past that burning players out so early in the season can lead to further injuries ad that is the last thing any title contender would want.

Sporting are undefeated in the Portuguese League this season but find themselves in 7th place with 2 wins and 4 draws. They have had difficult turning dominant performances into wins and it is largely due to a lack of goals with only 9 in 6 games. Chelsea have not had such a problem with 19 in the same amount of goals. Diego Costa has been a huge reason for this but he may not play out the 90 minutes in this one.

Even if Chelsea are to take the lead in this one Jose Mourinho is likely to give his team the signal to slow the tempo and conserve energy for the big weekend clash. Heading back home to Portugal Mourinho will manage to take the three points but it will be a much closer encounter than expected.

UCL Betting

Other Matches

CSKA Moscow v Bayern Munich: Team Total – Bayern Munich Over 2.5 goals ($2.30)
Schalke v Maribor: Teams To Score – Schalke Only ($2.25)
APOEL v Ajax: Under 2.5 goals ($1.70)
Shakhtar Donetsk v Porto: Draw ($3.00)          
BATE v Ath Bilbao: HT/FT – Ath Bilbao/Ath Bilbao ($2.70)

UCL Betting

 

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Wednesday October 1

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport.

1) First Half Result – Draw

Paris St-Germain vs Barcelona (4:45 AM AEST)

It is heavyweight time in the UEFA Champions League as Zlatan Ibrahimovic takes on former club Barcelona. The sides have drawn in three of their five meetings. Both sides are undefeated in their domestic leagues where Barcelona is yet to concede a goal after six games. In a statistic that may shock many, Barcelona has won only three of its last 10 away from home in the UCL. PSG on the other hand are undefeated in their last eight UCL matches at home. Don’t expect a fast tempo in this one!

2) Savage Coup

Race 3 Sale (2:10 PM AEST)

She flew home for second last start when she finally got clear running and the step up in distance will be to her liking. Very solid light-weight chance and will take some beating.

3) Chez Harmony

Race 4 Canterbury (3:05 PM AEST)

She was better suited back on top of the ground last start at Kembla Grange when she recorded a solid win over 1600m. Gets the inside draw and will take some running down.

4) Taddei Tondo

Race 6 Sale (3:55 PM AEST)

He’s coming off a very good win at Mornington and the step up in distance suits (2: 2-0-0). Gets the nice draw and will be running on over the top of them again. The one to beat.

5) One Direction

Race 6 Canterbury (4:15 PM AEST)

He’s aiming to make it four wins on the trot and deserves his shot at this. Last two victories have been impressive and looks like he can make the transition to city grade. 

6) Draw

Western Sydney vs FC Seoul (7:30 PM AEST)

The Western Sydney Wanderers continue to create history. On Wednesday night a win will send them into the Final of the AFC Champions League Final. Following a 0-0 draw in Seoul a victory of any kind will be enough. The Wanderers have shown how great they are defensively and in front of a sell-out crowd they will be even harder to break down. 

 

 

 

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Tuesday September 30

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport.

1) BCM Gravelines Dunkerque -4.5

Som Boulogner-Sur-mer vs BCM Gravelines Dunkerque (4:00 AM AEST)

Gravelines have won back to back league titles and look set to continue on their roll against lowly Boulogner.  The game should not be that close.

 

2) Kansas City Chiefs

New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs (10:30 AM AEST)

The Patriots might be 2-1 but their form hasn’t been anything to get too excited about.Quarterback Tom Brady is looking a shadow of his former self and could be in for a tough night against the Chiefs D.Reports that running back Jamaal Charles could be back this week which will give the home side a boost.The Chiefs look like great value at home and the $2.50 looks like a great price or back them with the 3.5 start.

 

3) David Marrero / Fernando Verdasco

David Marrero Santana/David Marrero vs Jean-Hulien Rojer/Horia Tecau (12:00 PM AEST)

Marrero and Verdasco made it to the US Open Final where they went down in three sets to the Bryan Brothers.  On their way they knock out Rojer and Tecau and can do it again today.

 

4) Chemistry

Mornington: Race 3 (2:40 PM AEST)

Just missed last start when coming up a head short after being held up at the turn. Worked to the lead early in the straight before being run down so will appreciate the shorter run.  Two solid trial wins are a good indication.

5) Senor Gold

Warragul: Race 3 (7:27 PM AEST)

Yet to miss a place here and has fantastic early speed.  Main danger is Jake’s A Devil.

6) Punk Panther

Warragul: Race 7 (8:50 PM AEST)

Stamped his claim as one to watch after dealing with traffic and getting up for the win last start.  15 placings in 24 starts, 6 wins from his last 13 starts and ran second here earlier in the year.  Failed here when $1.45 favourite earlier in the month but bounced back so should be there abouts.

 

 

 

 

Fill Your Boots Podcast – 2014 AFL Grand Final 26/09/14

Join William Hill Australia experts Dave Tolson and Josh Thompson as they discuss all the betting and lead up to the 2014 AFL Grand Final between Sydney and Hawthorn.

Latest 2014 AFL Grand Final betting 

Fill Your Boots - AFL

Fill Your Boots Podcast – NRL 26/09/14

Join William Hill Australia NRL experts Nick Tedeschi, Brad Gray and Dave Tolson as they preview the NRL preliminary finals.

 

Fill Your Boots Podcast – Racing 26/09/14

Join William Hill Australia experts Nick Tedeschi, Brad Gray and Dave Tolson as they discuss this weekend’s racing action from Moonee Valley (Friday night), Rosehill (Saturday), Sandown (Saturday) and Caulfield (Sunday) – featuring Group 1 races the Moir Stakes and the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes

Latest Moir Stakes Odds

Latest Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Odds

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Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Sunday September 28

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport.

1) Arsenal

Arsenal vs Tottenham (2:30 AM AEST)

Arsenal have dominated the North London Derby since the start of the Premier League in 1992, losing only eight times in the 44 meetings between the sides. They have been dominant at the Emirates Stadium winning six of the eight clashes. History and form is on the Gunners side.

2) Scarletini

Race 1 Warwick Farm (1:15 PM AEST)

She’ll appreciate the drop in grade today and looks well suited here. Ran on very gamely last start and if she can hold her form, she’s a strong winning hope in the small field.

3) Penrith Panthers -8.5

NSW Cup Grand Final – Penrith vs Newcastle (3:00 PM AEST)

The Panthers have been the benchmark in the NSW Cup all season. They’ve flexed their muscles in the finals with comfortable wins over Illawarra and Wentworthville. The Knights are playing some good footy but might find the Panthers too tough to topple in the big one. Penrith will have extra incentive to get the victory with the popular Kevin Kingston retiring after this clash.

4) Bring Me The Maid

Race 5 Caulfield (3:25 PM AEST)

Expect her to bounce back and make amends after her run in the G1 Golden Rose. Looks well suited against her own sex and will take plenty of beating. Stick with her!

5) Hollywood Bound

Race 5 Warwick Farm (3:45 PM AEST)

The 5-year-old gelding from the Waller stable is flying at the moment. He’ll be aiming for three wins in a row and is a consistent performer at the track/distance. Hard to beat.

6) Sweet Idea

Race 7 Caulfield (4:40 PM AEST)

She’s as consistent as they come and looks like one of the major players in the Sir Rupert Clarke. Produced a strong run in the Memsie Stakes and gets a 4.5kg weight pull on the top weight Dissident. Plenty to like about her.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Digging With The Mole

The Rugby League Week Mole gives us all the ins and outs ahead of the NRL Preliminary Finals.

SOUTH Sydney face the prospect of being branded with one of the most dreaded tags in rugby league if they lose to the Roosters in tonight’s massive local derby out at Homebush.

The critics are certain to label the Rabbitohs as ‘chokers’ if they fall a game short of their first grand final since 1971 for the third straight year.

The Rabbitohs are slight $1.76 favourites on sportingbet.com.au tonight, conceding a skinny 1.5 points start to their rivals.

Souths probably deserve that narrow favouritism – but punters need to weigh up whether the massive pressure on the Rabbitohs’ shoulders cancels out any advantage.

To me, the Roosters have the arrogant swagger of being the reigning premiers – and that is worth points on the board.

Souths will be shattered if they again fail to make the big one – and the way I see it, they have all the pressure riding on them.

There are certain to be plenty of nerves in both camps – but when the whips start cracking in the second half, the Roosters will have that knowledge that they did it all last season, whereas Souths have that self doubt that 40-odd years without a premiership brings.

A massive rumour swept through the game yesterday that Souths would lose superstar fullback Greg Inglis, who has been carrying a hip injury.

But my spies in the Souths camp assure me Inglis is certain to play after the week’s break and while he isn’t 100 per cent, he is fit enough to play 80 minutes.

Souths believe they have the fire power in the forwards – headed by the dynamic Burgess brothers – to blow the Roosters off the park.

And the Rabbitohs’ pack will be boosted by the return from suspension of back-rower Ben Te’o, who will give them more strike power on the edges.

The Roosters also have a power forward returning from suspension – young gun Dylan Napa – and he is expected to replace Frenchman Remi Casty.

It’s probably the biggest game apart from a grand final Sydney has seen in decades – and I’m tipping the Roosters – but only by a whisker.

**************************************************************************************************

THE premiership’s two quiet achievers meet in the other qualifier tomorrow night with the bookies finding little between the teams here as well.

Sportingbet.com.au has the Bulldogs at $1.73, with the Panthers at $2.15, with Canterbury conceding two points start.

Both teams have ‘flown under the radar’ to use a favourite quote of Bulldogs coach Des Hasler – but by late Saturday one will be in the grand final.

All season the critics have been waiting for the Panthers to fall and they have thrived on the underdog tag.

It was a similar story back in 2003, when the Panthers kept defying the experts and scored a stunning grand final win over the Roosters.

But I think the fairytale will end tomorrow night – the Bulldogs are seasoned finals campaigners and have the size and toughness up front to put a dent in the injury-weakened Panthers.

Bulldogs halfback Trent Hodkinson has been on light duties all week with a knee problem but is a certain starter and his kicking game will be crucial in what I see to be an eight to 10 point Bulldogs win.

Happy punting!

Follow The Money

Follow The Money

The Sportingbet team brings you the early big bets for racing and sport this weekend.

Racing

The punters have been launching into Lankan Rupee to take out G1 Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley on Friday night.

Race 4 Moonee Valley – $40K Lankan Rupee @1.50, 2 x $5K @1.50, $4K @1.50, $2K @1.50

Race 6 Moonee Valley - $1.5K EW Big Memory @ 6.50

Race 6 Moonee Valley - $1K EW Signoff @ 6

Race 7 Moonee Valley – $2K Almalad @ 2.80

Race 7 Caulfield (Sun) –  $1K EW Sweet Idea @ 8

AFL Grand Final

Sydney Vs Hawthorn

$8K Sydney @ 1.62

$5K Sydney @ 1.62

$4.5K Sydney  @1.65

$3K Sydney @ 1.67

NRL

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters

$10K South Sydney -1.5 @ 1.92

$5K South Sydney -1.5 @ 1.92

$3K South Sydney -1.5 @ 1.92

$2K South Sydney 1-12 @ 3.15

2x $2K South Sydney @ 1.76

Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs

$10K Penrith +2.5 @ 1.92

$8K Penrith @ 2.20

$4K Penrith @2.15

$3K Penrith @ 2.25

$2K Penrith @ 2.25

 

 

 

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Saturday September 27

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport.

1) Sweynesse

Race 1 Rosehill (12:40 PM AEST)

The 3-year-old Godolphin colt will be looking to maintain his unbeaten run when he tackles the G3 Gloaming Stakes. Looks to be a versatile type with wins on all types of going. Steps up in distance again and will be running on. The one to beat.

2) King’s Dance

Race 2 Sportingbet Park (1:35 PM AEST)

He’s racing extremely this time in and will give them something to chase. Strong form lines out of his most recent win with the second horse winning in good fashion on Thursday. Will take some running down.

3) Sydney Swans 1-39

AFL Grand Final – Sydney vs Hawthorn (2:30 PM AEST)

These two teams have been the benchmark for the competition over the past three years. They met twice earlier this season with the points split as each team won at home. We can expect another close contest in the big one and a repeat of the 2012 grand final which had a margin of 10 points to the Swans is not out of the question.

4) Scissor Kick

Race 5 Rosehill (3:05 PM AEST)

He produced an enormous run as runner-up to Hallowed Crown in the G1 Golden Rose. He was 4 wide on that occasion and put in a gallant effort. Drawn a better gate for Ty Angland today and will be extremely hard to beat.

5) Canterbury Bulldogs

Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs (8:00 PM AEST)

Momentum is a huge thing in finals football and the week off could hurt the Panthers here. The Bulldogs won a heart stopper over the Sea Eagles and will be aiming to keep their run going and make the grand final from 7th spot. Expecting the Bulldogs forward pack to dominate and the Panthers great season to come to a premature end.

6) First Half Over 1.5 Goals

Liverpool vs Everton (9:45 PM AEST)

It is one of the most famous local derby matches in world football. The recent battles have been entertaining to say the least! 17 goals in the last 5 have made this a must watch affair. Both sides have shown a weakness in defence this season having conceded 21 goals between them to date. Expect plenty of goals and we should have plenty by half-time.

 

 

 

 

UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 (Wednesday)

UCL BIG GUNS TRACKER Is there anything better than setting your alarm to 4:30??? Not for football lovers! This week the Champions League takes us to Paris, Moscow, Manchester and Lisbon just to mention a few. Bayern Munich, Barcelona, Man …

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Wednesday October 1

The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport. 1) First Half Result – Draw Paris St-Germain vs Barcelona (4:45 AM AEST) It is heavyweight time in the UEFA Champions League …

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Tuesday September 30

The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport. 1) BCM Gravelines Dunkerque -4.5 Som Boulogner-Sur-mer vs BCM Gravelines Dunkerque (4:00 AM AEST) Gravelines have won back to back league …

Fill Your Boots Podcast – 2014 AFL Grand Final 26/09/14

Join William Hill Australia experts Dave Tolson and Josh Thompson as they discuss all the betting and lead up to the 2014 AFL Grand Final between Sydney and Hawthorn. Latest 2014 AFL Grand Final betting 

Fill Your Boots Podcast – NRL 26/09/14

Join William Hill Australia NRL experts Nick Tedeschi, Brad Gray and Dave Tolson as they preview the NRL preliminary finals.  

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