Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Wednesday September 24

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing.

1) Segregation

Race 1 Canterbury (1:20 PM AEST)

The Godolphin colt has trialled nicely leading into this and trainer John O’Shea will be hoping he can repeat the form he showed on debut. Finished ahead of Mohave in most recent trial too. Looks to be a very promising type.

2) Savage Coup 

Race 4 Bendigo (2:45 PM AEST)

She’s been luckless this prep and trainer Robert Smerdon will be hoping for a change in fortunes at Bendigo. She’ll relish the step up to the 1600m and will be running on late. Winning hope.

3) Private Secretary 

Race 4 Canterbury (3:05 PM AEST)

She won in dominant fashion two runs back and chasely very gamely last time out at Warwick Farm on the heavy going. She’s been freshened up for this and has won four of her five starts on a good track. Right in the mix.

4) Do Not Go Gentle

Race 5 Bendigo (3:20 PM AEST)

She fell in last start over the 1100m after booting clear in the straight. The drop back in distance will suit and she’ll take plenty of catching once again. 

5) Fluorescent

Race 6 Bendigo (3:55 PM AEST)

She’s coming off a solid win at Seymour over 2000m and looks well placed here. The step up to the 2400m won’t pose any problems and will take plenty of beating. 

6) Diamond Glow 

Race 7 Canterbury (4:50 PM AEST)

She should be reaching peak fitness for this assignment after three runs this prep. Respecting the Moody stable and should be fighting out the finish.

 

 

 

 

 

EPL Player of the Week

Leicester

After a stunning comeback on the weekend we have been forced to rename our EPL Player of the Week! Leicester City were absolutely fabulous in the second half against Man Utd and after going down 3-1 they mounted a miraculous comeback to win 5-3!

EPL Betting

It was a wonderful display of TOTAL FOOTBALL as they pinned the Red Devils on their heels with wave after wave of attacks. It was looking like the Man Utd of old in the first half as Di Maria, Falcao, Van Persie and Rooney were dominating proceedings in the middle of the park.

That all changed when Jamie Vardy was brought down in the box by Rafael. David Nugent converted from the spot while veteran Esteban Cambiasso leveled the scores with half an hour still on the clock. From that point on the promoted side were unstoppable with goals to Vardy and Ulloa sealing a historic 5-3 win.

Those who thought the Red Devils had turned the corner after a 4-0 win over QPR will have to hold the phone for just a little bit longer. Leicester sit 7th on the ladder and with matches against Crystal Palace and Burnley to come we may just see them in the top four!

EPL Betting

Australia Third Favourite To Host 2022 Football World Cup

Online bookie Sportingbet.com.au has made Australia its third favourite to be the host nation of the 2022 World Cup, after FIFA Executive Committee member Theo Zwanziger told German newspaper Bild that he does not think the tournament will take place in Qatar.

While Qatar is still a $1.83 favourite at Sportingbet to host the 2022 World Cup, Australia is considered an $8 chance, just behind the United States at $3.

“Australia was one of the bidders for 2022 so if it doesn’t go ahead in Qatar then we deserve to be in the mix,” Sportingbet’s Andrew Brown said.

Germany ($9), South Korea ($15), England ($17) and Japan ($21) are all in Sportingbet’s market.

For Sportingbet’s full market visit https://www.sportingbet.com.au/special-events/9158201/d/where-will-the-2022-world-cup-of-soccer-take-place

Where will the 2022 World Cup of Soccer take place?

Odds from Sportingbet.com.au

Qatar $1.83

USA $3

Australia $8

Germany $9

South Korea $15

England $17

Japan $21

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Tuesday September 23

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport.

1) Baltimore Orioles (W CHEN)

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (9:05 AM AEST)

Baltimore’s Chen leads the American League with an .800 winning percentage and the market is set at a pick-em?  The Orioles took 3 games off the Yankees in their four-game series in September, so expect Baltimore to be good here.

 

2) Over 8 Runs (Total Game Score)

Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers (10:05 AM AEST)

In their last seven games, Texas has scored 2, 5, 12, 7, 6, 6 and 10, letting you know the bats are working.  Similarly, in their last three match ups, the Astros have posted 8, 10 and 5 runs. Also, Ranger’s Third-Baseman Adrian Beltre, is hitting .361 at home this season, which ranks second in the AL.

 

3) Under 8 Runs (Total Game Score)

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Minnesota Twins (10:20 AM AEST)

Both Arizona’s Josh Collmenter and Minnesota’s Ricky Nolasco have both started to hit their straps in recent times, with Collmenter dropping his ERA to 1.01 over his last five starts, while Nolasco comes in on the back of keeping the big hitting Detroit line-up scoreless over 8 innings. Can’t see too many runs here.

 

4) New York Jets -2.5

Chicago Bears @ New York Jets (10:30 AM AEST)

The Jets pushed the Packers to the limit last week and if not for a crucial timeout call could have won the game. They’ll be keen to take their frustration out on the Bears and will need quarterback Geno Smith to put in a big show. This is one of the hardest games of the week to pick but we’ll lean towards the home side in a close one.

 

5) Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar (7:30 PM AEST)

Brisbane boasts an impressive record against Adelaide United over the past couple of years, winning five of the past six meetings against the Reds, including four victories in South Australia, while Adelaide have only defeated Brisbane twice since the start of the 2010-11 A-League season.

 

6) Ana Ivanovic -4.5 (Handicap)

Ana Ivanovic vs Anastasia Pavlyuchnkova (6:20 PM AEST)

Ivanovic holds a commanding 6-0 record H2H in this contest and has done so convincingly, winning all but one contest by the 4.5 game margin.  Ivanovic comes here off the back of a win in the last WTA tournament in Tokyo and should be ready to go here.

 

 

 

 

 

 

How to Pick Brownlow Winner

KEYS TO WINNING

There are several key factors to look at when picking the Brownlow Medal winner and the best indicators are the playing position and team position on the ladder. A quick look at the historical results and there is a common theme over the last two decades.

Brownlow Betting

The Medal is almost exclusively won by midfield players so the general consensus is to put a line straight through ‘Buddy’ and the other big boys up front. The last goal kicking forward to win the Brownlow was Tony ‘Plugger’ Lockett in 1987, more than 25 years ago. Midfield players are able to accumulate more meaningful disposals and grab the attention of the voters (umpires) as they feature on the ball more regularly.

Another telling statistic is the finishing position of the Brownlow Medal winners team on the AFL Premiership Ladder at the end of the home-and-away season. Since the introduction of a top 8 finals system in 1994, the side of the Brownlow Medal winner has finished in the top eight on 17 out of 20 occasions. After further digging we can see that the winners team has finished in the top four 13 times in the last 20 seasons.

Brownlow Betting

Surprisingly the Brownlow winner has come from the Minor Premiers only twice in the last two decades! Those who are superstitious with numbers would like to know that the most common finishing position on the ladder is second. This has happened on six occasions since 1994. The tables and charts below depict these results but the historical results tell us something loud and clear. The Brownlow Medal winner will be a midfielder from a side that make the Finals.

Can big Buddy Franklin buck the trend?

Brownlow ladder pos

Brownlow Betting

Brownlow Medal Profiles

The Brownlow Medal is awarded annually to the best and fairest player of the AFL. It is the most prestigious individual award any player can receive. The early leader this year was Gary Ablett but after a season ending injury the chasing pack are sure to have made up considerable ground. Here are the profiles of some of the favourites and some roughies for this years Brownlow Medal.

Brownlow Betting

Player Profiles

GARY ABLETT

Odds to Win: $4.00
Team:
 Gold Coast Suns
Number: 9
D.O.B: 14/05/1984 (30 yrs)
Height: 182cm
Weight: 87kg
Position: Midfield
Awards:
Brownlow Medal (2009,2013)
AFL Premiership (2007,2009)
All-Australian (2007-2013)


Player Bio:
Gary Ablett Jnr is the defending and two time Brownlow Medal winner. He is the eldest son of Gary Ablett Snr and was drafted to Geelong in the 2001 AFL draft. He has for long been regarded as the best player in the game and after winning two Premiership Flags with the Cats he made a controversial move to the newly formed Gold Coast Suns in 2011.
It seemed to be a backward step but Ablett’s greatness would continue to be on display as he won the Brownlow Medal last year in a side that finished 14th on the ladder. He was fabulous again this year and was the clear cut favourite to win the Brownlow again until a shoulder injury forced him out late in the season. The Suns looked set the make the finals on the back of Ablett’s magic but without him at the helm they faded. His inability to play has meant that late scoring surges from other players means that he will have to hand on in order to be awarded with the Brownlow Medal for a third time.

Brownlow Betting

SCOTT PENDLEBURY

Odds to Win: $17.00
Team: Collingwood
Number: 10
D.O.B: 07/01/1988 (26 yrs)
Height: 191cm
Weight: 91kg
Position: Midfield
Awards:
AFL Premiership (2010)
Norm Smith Medal (2010)
ANZAC Day Medal (2010,2011)
All-Australia (2010-2013)


Player Bio:
Scott Pendlebury is the prototype modern day midfielder. He is strong, skillful, elusive and full of running making him one of the hardest player to tag. He is the current captain of the Collingwood Football Club and has remained with the club that drafter him at No.5 in the 2005 National draft. Pendlebury was the driving force in the 2010 Premiership side and was rewarded with the Norm Smith Medal for his standout performance in the Grand Final. He has been names All-Australian for the past four seasons and is one of the front runners for this years Brownlow Medal.

Brownlow Betting

JOSH KENNEDY


Odds to Win: $8.00
Team: Sydney Swans
Number: 12
D.O.B: 20/06/1988 (26 yrs)
Height: 188cm
Weight: 96kg
Position: Midfield
Awards:
AFL Premiership (2012)
All-Australian (2012)
Club Best and Fairest (2012)


Player Bio:
Josh Kennedy is ‘Mr Consistency’. Since making his move to the Sydney Swans in 2010 from Hawthorn he has played over 100 games in a row making it the longest active streak. In 2013, he averaged over 27 disposals and 5 tackles. Those who though he couldn’t possibly better this were wrong. Josh found another gear in 2014 and has averaged over 30 disposals per game and 6 tackles. It is this form which has experts predicting that he will gather a heap of Brownlow votes making him one of the top pick to be awarded the Medal in 2014.

Brownlow Betting

JOEL SELWOOD


Odds to Win: $2.70
Team: Geelong
Number: 14
D.O.B: 26/05/1988 (26 yrs)
Height: 182cm
Weight: 87kg
Position: Midfield
Awards:
AFL Premiership (2007,2009,2011)
NAB Cup 2009
Brownlow Medal runner up 2013
All Australian (2009,2010,2013)


Player Bio:
Joel Selwood is The Cats inspirational skipper and has achieved success throughout his career as a junior and in the top grade. As a junior he was a standout track and field athlete featuring in MVP awards at state and international level. Geelong saw his potential and made him their first pick in the 2006 AFL draft, going 7th overall.
He has paid back Geelong with truck load of success! He won the Rising Star Award and Players Association Best First Year Player Award and has added three AFL Premierships since. A born winner, the ‘Boy Wonder’ keeps setting the bar higher with each season and somehow he keeps getting better. Joel is a true leader and champion!

Brownlow Betting

LANCE FRANKLIN


Odds to Win: $15.00
Team: Sydney Swans
Number: 23
D.O.B: 30/01/1987 (27 yrs)
Height: 198cm
Weight: 102kg
Position: Full Forward
Awards:
AFL Premiership (208,2013)
All-Australian (2008,2010-12)
Coleman Meda (2008,2011)


Player Bio:
Buddy Franklin burst on to the scene in 2005 and his size, strength and goal kicking talent have made him one of the biggest names in AFL. After 9 season and two flags with the Hawks, Buddy has taken his talents to Sydney where he will see out his career after signing a record nine year contract. His first season in Sydney has been a great one where he has had multiple match winning performances and averaged more than three goals per game. A full forward hasn’t won the Brownlow Medal for a long time but with the form that Buddy has been in it would be no surprise!

TRAVIS BOAK


Odds to Win: $41.00
Team: Port Adelaide
Number: 1
D.O.B: 1/08/1988 (26 yrs)
Height: 183cm
Weight: 83kg
Position: Midfield
Awards:
All-Australian (2013)
John Cahill Medal (2011)
Gavin Wanganeen Medal (2009)


Player Bio:
Travis Boak was a highly rated talent from a young age and he has lived up to all the hype. He has become Port Adelaide’s captain and marquee player leading the team both on and off the field. Many players fail to handle to pressure of being club captain but Boak has relished the role of skipper. In his first season as captain in 2013 he achieved career best results in possessions, inside 50′s and goals. After setting a career mark of 25.3 disposals per game in 2013 he has gone to another level in 2014 increasing the mark to over 27. His hunger and fabulous hands allow him to dominate in midfield and with his side entrenched in the top 8 he is a big chance for the Brownlow.

MATHEW PRIDDIS


Odds to Win: $17.00
Team: West Coast
Number: 11
D.O.B: 21/03/1985 (29 yrs)
Height: 185cm
Weight: 86kg
Position: Midfield
Awards:
John Worsfold Medal (2013)
Geoff Christian Medal (2011)
Runner-up West Coast Best and Fairest (2010/11)


Player Bio:
Matt Priddis is one of those tireless midfielders who has a never die attitude. He is a stoppage specialist and has been leader of his side in many key statistical areas including clearances, contested possessions, handballs and total disposals. Matt stands out for more reasons that just his curly blonde hair. His efforts last year were rewarded with the John Worsford Medal for best and fairest at the Eagles. In 2008 he broke the all time record for most handpasses in a game with 30 and with an average of over 28 disposals in 2014 the Brownlow Medal is well within reach.

AARON SANDILANDS



Odds to Win: $101.00
Team: Fremantle
Number: 31
D.O.B: 06/12/1982 (31 yrs)
Height: 211cm
Weight: 120kg
Position: Ruckman
Awards:
All-Australian (2008-2010)
Club Best and Fairest (2009)
Geoff Christian Medal (2009)


Player Bio:
When Aaron Sandilands is on the field you simply cannot miss him! He is a giant at 6 ft 11 and is a dominating ruckman. Aaron is a solid big boy weighing in at 120kg and this makes it almost impossible to get the better of him when the ball is up for grabs. All season long Fremantle have used the ability of Sandilands to win possession from hit outs and flood players forward. He is the main reason why the Dockers lead the competition in hit outs and it is his effectiveness in stoppages which has helped Fremantle stay at the pointy end of the ladder. The Brownlow Medal would be just reward for his performance this season.

Brownlow Betting

Brownlow Medal: Josh Kennedy’s odds crunched

Sydney’s Josh Kennedy is attracting heavy late support at Sportingbet.com.au to win tonight’s Brownlow Medal.

The Swans midfielder’s odds of winning the prestigious AFL award have been crunched from $13 into $8 at Sportingbet since Saturday.

“Over the past 48 hours, punters have backed him to win well over $100,000 off us,” Sportingbet’s Andrew Brown said.

“Kennedy is certainly the flavour of the day with Brownlow Medal punters and he’s now a clear-cut fourth favourite.”

Cats Captain Joel Selwood remains a solid $2.70 favourite at Sportingbet, in front of Gold Coast’s Gary Ablett ($4) and Port Adelaide’s Robbie Gray ($6).

Some of the big Brownlow bets placed at Sportingbet include:

-    $60,000 on Gary Ablett to win at odds of $2.05 (placed on May 22)
-    $50,000 on Joel Selwood to finish in the Top 5 at odds of $1.15 (placed on September 20)
-    $10,000 on Joel Selwood to poll ‘Most Votes without Ablett’ at odds of $4.50
-    $2,000 on Josh Kennedy to win at odds of $10 (placed today)
-    $3,000 on Jordan Lewis to win at odds of $31 (placed August 20)
-    $5,000 on Aaron Sandilands to win at odds of $34 (placed April 2)

Sportingbet is offering more than 70 markets on tonight’s Brownlow Medal and will be betting live in the run on the winner right up until the final round of voting.

For more of Sportingbet’s Brownlow Medal markets visit https://www.sportingbet.com.au/australian-rules

2014 Brownlow Medal Winner
Odds from Sportingbet.com.au

Joel Selwood $2.70
Gary Ablett $4
Robbie Gray $6
Josh Kennedy $8
Jordan Lewis $11
Dyson Heppell $15
Matt Priddis $17
Lance Franklin $17
Scott Pendlebury $17
Trent Cotchin $34
Travis Boak $41
Dayne Beams $67
Others $101 +

Sporting Brownlow Six Pack – Monday September 22

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1) Gary Ablett (Winner)


Brownlow Medal Winner

The two-time Brownlow Medallist will have to defy history to win his third medal – with no winner having missed seven games but he may have done enough. We have him finishing on 25 votes, tied with Geelong captain Joel Selwood. Put the feet up after round 16 and just hope Gazza can hold on.

2) Gary Ablett-Joel Selwood (Quinella)

Brownlow Medal Quinella

As previously stated, this year looks to be the first count since 2003 to have multiple winners. Selwood and Ablett have both had stunning years and the $3 quinella looks a safe bet. Ablett polled three votes in the final round of the 2013 to beat Selwood by a vote. Gary is sure to be nervous coming into the final round when either Selwood or teammate Tom Hawkins will be vying for maximum votes.

3) Trent Cotchin (leader after round 5)

Brownlow Medal Leader After Round 5

Now this result could surprise, with Cotchin ($11) currently on the fifth line of betting but the Tigers captain had a dominant start to the year. He smashed Carlton when they won in round 2, and nearly orchestrated a comeback over the Dogs whilst in round 5 he had 42 disposals against the Lions.  Selwood and Ablett are the main dangers but hard to go past Cotch at the value.

4) Jarryd Roughead (vs Nick Riewoldt)

Brownlow Medal Head to Heads

In a genuine flip of the coin battle of two key forwards, Roughead ($2.10) has come up outsider against Riewoldt and looks genuine value. He had a purple patch between round 18 and 20 and we have him one vote ahead of Riewoldt.

5) Scott Thompson (most team votes)

Brownlow Medal Team Votes

The Crows veteran perennially slips under the radar. He polled 25 votes in 2012 to finish equal 5th whilst has polled double figure votes six times. At $6, he looks great value to beat main rivals Patrick Dangerfield and Rory Sloane. Whilst he may not have too many three vote games, he’s an accumulator and should poll a few two’s and one’s. We have him on 13 votes, one ahead of Dangerfield.

6) Brandon Ellis (Flying Flankers)

Brownlow Medal Group Votes

The third year Tiger played a critical in Richmond’s late season resurgence. In their nine game winning streak Ellis is slated to poll in four games and finish with a total of 11. Main rival in this group is Gold Coast’s David Swallow who we have polling nine votes. At $2.75, Ellis looks a steal.

Latest Brownlow Medal Odds

Brownlow Novelty Markets

With such a dearth of quality sport this Sunday afternoon, it got us thinking about the 2014 AFL Brownlow Medal tomorrow night. Our traders have thrown up some hypothetical Brownlow Medal markets, and we’re keen to know if you would bet into these or if you have any others that you would like to see ahead of Monday night’s Brownlow Medal Count.

(these are hypothetical markets and are not available to bet on)

First off – The colour of dress worn by the winner’s date.

colourofdresswinnerpartner

Will the Brownlow winner kiss his date immediately after winning?

kiss parnter

The following are current players who top the inglorious list of ‘most games without a Brownlow vote’. Will any of them get off the mark this year?

Bet on the latest Brownlow Medal Markets

nonvotegetters

In Brownlow’s past, former AFL chief executive Andrew Demetriou has mispronounced the a few names of players when reading the votes. New chief executive Gillon McLachlan is bound to be nervous taking charge of his first count, will he mispronounce any players this year?

 slip of tounge

A million things must be racing through the head of the Brownlow winner when get steps on stage to collect the medal. Once he takes the microphone, who will he thank first?

winner thank

Rebecca Twigley ensured her place in Brownlow folklore for that red dress that took the eye of all and sundry during the 2004 Brownlow Medal count. Now, known as Bec Judd, o many she is a fashion icon.

 rJudd dress

 

2014 AF Brownlow Medal Odds

 

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Monday September 22

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The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport.

1) Manchester City

Manchester City vs Chelsea (1:00 AM AEST)

Manchester City will be backs-against-the-wall, going into this one after a they have not tasted victory in their last three matches.  Their record at home is well known and although Chelsea is the only team to come out of Emirates with the win last season, Manchester City are class performers and can right the ship here.

 

2) Philadelphia Eagles -6

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (3:00 AM AEST)

Philly will be a hostile environment when Washington comes to town. One player to expect his fair share of attention is former Eagle DeSean Jackson. He is under an injury cloud but expect fireworks if he can make it on to the field. The Eagles up tempo offence will trouble the Redskins and should make it three wins in a row to start the season.

 

3) Atlanta Braves (E SANTANA)

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves  (3:35 AM AEST)

Though New York’s rookie, deGrom has been good for us, happy to be on the champ Santana in this contest.  When facing New York at the start of the year, Santana went 8 innings of shutout pitching giving up only 3 runs.  The runs for Atalanta have been lean lately, so take on faith that the bats will wake up at home.

 

4) Seattle to win by 1-6 Points (Winning Margin)

Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks (6:30 AM AEST)

The 12th man will give Peyton Manning and the Broncos a Seattle welcome and make it tough for Broncos quarterback Manning to run his offence. The Seahawks will be hurting after their loss on the road to the Chargers and quarterback Russell Wilson will once again want to prove himself against future hall of famer Manning. Easily the game of the week and could be decided by a field goal.

 

5) St Louis Cardinals (L LYNN)

Cincinnati Reds @ St Louis Cardinals (10:05 AM AEST)

St Louis have had a good September but have had a tough time against the Reds in recent series.  Lance Lynn threw for a very unlucky loss two starts back against this Reds line up giving up just three hits and a single run over 8 strong innings.  Look for him to have better luck here at home, following a similarly strong five-hit, one-run outing lasting 7 innings against Milwaukee.

 

6) Carolina Panthers -3

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Carolina Panthers (10:30 AM AEST)

The Panthers defence is arguably the best in the league and Steelers quarterback Big Ben can expect a torrid night from the Panthers D with linebacker Luke Kuechly leading the way. Carolina quarterback Cam Newton will be better for last week’s run against the Lions and will be leading his side to a comfortable victory in this one.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Wednesday September 24

The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing. 1) Segregation Race 1 Canterbury (1:20 PM AEST) The Godolphin colt has trialled nicely leading into this and trainer John O’Shea will be hoping …

EPL Player of the Week

After a stunning comeback on the weekend we have been forced to rename our EPL Player of the Week! Leicester City were absolutely fabulous in the second half against Man Utd and after going down 3-1 they mounted a miraculous …

Australia Third Favourite To Host 2022 Football World Cup

Online bookie Sportingbet.com.au has made Australia its third favourite to be the host nation of the 2022 World Cup, after FIFA Executive Committee member Theo Zwanziger told German newspaper Bild that he does not think the tournament will take place …

Sportingbet Six-Pack – Daily Tips Tuesday September 23

The Sportingbet team have put their heads together and come up with the best bets across Racing and Sport. 1) Baltimore Orioles (W CHEN) Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (9:05 AM AEST) Baltimore’s Chen leads the American League with …

How to Pick Brownlow Winner

KEYS TO WINNING There are several key factors to look at when picking the Brownlow Medal winner and the best indicators are the playing position and team position on the ladder. A quick look at the historical results and there …

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Big Bets

$1000 - 1000 Line Bet ($1.90) on Sydney(-8) (Sydney vs Hawthorn)
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$1000 - 1000 Under 12.5 on Penrith (Penrith vs Canterbury)
$10000 - 10000 Line Bet ($1.90) on Penrith(3) (Penrith vs Canterbury)
$4000 - 4000 Straight Bet on Penrith (Penrith vs Canterbury)

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